TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Watson vs V. Hruncakova (Birmingham on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with H. Watson favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Watson | V. Hruncakova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.2% | 29.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.0% | 13.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
78.6% | 21.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.9% | 42.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Watson | hard | 1586 | 117–80 | 197 |
| V. Hruncakova | hard | 1534 | 106–72 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | V. Hruncakova | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 16, 2024 | W50 Roehampton | hard | H. Watson | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Pareja | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 1 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | S. Bandecchi | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Rajecki | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Adeshina | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | R. M. Nijkamp | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Cirotte | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used