TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Hibino vs M. Bolkvadze (Birmingham on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with N. Hibino favoured at 1.49.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Hibino | M. Bolkvadze |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.1% | 44.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.1% | 37.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hibino | hard | 1582 | 124–106 | 230 |
| M. Bolkvadze | hard | 1555 | 111–84 | 195 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
N. Hibino leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Chavez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Tauson | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tomljanovic | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used