TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Vrancken Peeters vs G. Knutson (Birmingham on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with G. Knutson favoured at 1.49.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Vrancken Peeters | G. Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
76.3% | 23.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.4% | 32.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.9% | 62.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vrancken Peeters | clay | 1481 | 52–49 | 101 |
| G. Knutson | hard | 1531 | 131–86 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 9, 2026.
G. Knutson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | G. Knutson | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. L. Ebeling | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | S. Van Ernst | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | I. Yamazaki | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Glushkova | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Sakellaridi | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used