TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Kalinskaya vs A. Korneeva (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with A. Kalinskaya favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Kalinskaya | A. Korneeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.2% | 29.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kalinskaya | hard | 1880 | 126–78 | 204 |
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
A. Kalinskaya leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Tjen | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used