TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Galarneau vs F. Cina (French Open on 2026-05-21) — the market is efficient, with F. Cina favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Galarneau | F. Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.7% | 74.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1616 | 151–116 | 267 |
| F. Cina | hard | 1683 | 55–35 | 90 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
F. Cina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Cina | 2 - 1 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Zink | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Uchida | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All May 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used