TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Falei vs L. Pigato (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with L. Pigato favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Falei | L. Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.6% | 75.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
10.5% | 89.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
17.5% | 82.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
L. Pigato leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Pigato | 2 - 0 |
| March 24, 2022 | W15 Antalya 7 | clay | L. Pigato | 2 - 1 |
| W | U. Radwanska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Penickova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Kubareva | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Vladson | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used