TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Deckers vs B. Tomic (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with B. Tomic favoured at 1.26.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Deckers | B. Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.6% | 12.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.9% | 20.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.7% | 74.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Deckers | hard | 1411 | 70–43 | 113 |
| B. Tomic | hard | 1624 | 149–103 | 252 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 10, 2026.
B. Tomic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Yilmaz | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Filiz | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. Robertson | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Timini | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | U. Kamboj | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Tobon | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used