TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Barrena vs A. Galarneau (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with A. Barrena favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Barrena | A. Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barrena | clay | 1565 | 160–127 | 287 |
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1616 | 151–116 | 267 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Galarneau leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Nikles | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Napolitano | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Zink | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Uchida | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used