TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Altmaier (moneyline) at 2.33 in Z. Svajda vs D. Altmaier (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Svajda | D. Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.0% | 51.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.0% | 51.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.8% | 45.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Svajda | hard | 1738 | 149–105 | 254 |
| D. Altmaier | hard | 1656 | 89–92 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
D. Altmaier leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | Z. Svajda | 3 - 1 |
| Feb. 8, 2023 | Dallas | hard | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 27, 2021 | Puerto Vallarta | hard | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Gea | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Altmaier | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 1 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| W | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →