TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Fearnley (moneyline) at 2.03 in M. Landaluce vs J. Fearnley (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Landaluce | J. Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Landaluce | hard | 1701 | 79–55 | 134 |
| J. Fearnley | hard | 1732 | 87–48 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
J. Fearnley leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | J. Fearnley | 3 - 2 |
| L | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 1 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | L. Draxl | 2 - 0 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Nagel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 0 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 1 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Carreno-Busta | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →