TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Fearnley (moneyline) at 2.03 in M. Landaluce vs J. Fearnley (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Landaluce | J. Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Landaluce | hard | 1717 | 75–50 | 125 |
| J. Fearnley | hard | 1710 | 78–43 | 121 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
J. Fearnley leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | J. Fearnley | 3 - 2 |
| L | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 0 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 1 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | R. Carballes Baena | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →