TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Dart (moneyline) in Z. Sonmez vs H. Dart (Eastbourne on 2026-06-23).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Sonmez | H. Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.8% | 29.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
78.2% | 21.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Z. Sonmez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 1 |
| W | R. Marino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Dong | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies an 11.7% edge on H. Dart, primarily driven by the ML model detecting a potential upset scenario and supported by extreme fatigue data for Sonmez. While Sonmez is in superior form, she has played 9 matches in the last 14 days including a final 2 days ago, creating a high probability of a physical letdown. Dart’s poor form is priced in, but the market fails to account for Sonmez's heavy workload, justifying the value bet on the underdog.