TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Arnaldi vs G. Hussey (Eastbourne on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with M. Arnaldi favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Arnaldi | G. Hussey |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.0% | 39.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.6% | 32.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.1% | 31.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arnaldi | clay | 1861 | 133–70 | 203 |
| G. Hussey | hard | 1577 | 174–98 | 272 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 16, 2026.
G. Hussey leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | G. Hussey | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | F. A. Gomez | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | G. Hussey | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | W. Manning | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used