TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Okamura +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in Z. Bai vs K. Okamura (Suzhou on 2026-10-09). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Bai | K. Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.4% | 35.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.7% | 54.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Bai | hard | 1629 | 135–50 | 185 |
| K. Okamura | hard | 1594 | 166–145 | 311 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 9, 2026 | Suzhou | hard | K. Okamura | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 22, 2023 | ITF W100 Takasaki 2 Women | hard | Z. Bai | 2 - 0 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | N. Bains | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | W. Zheng | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | S. Saito | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | R. Matsuda | 2 - 0 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Wang | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | E. Koike | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Kobori | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
All Oct. 9, 2026 results & picks →