A. Falei vs R. Sramkova — Prediction & Analysis

Suzhou · · Oct. 9, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Falei +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.12 in A. Falei vs R. Sramkova (Suzhou on 2026-10-09). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Falei 1.99 · R. Sramkova 1.71

Bot bet

A. Falei +1.5 (game handicap) @ 2.12 · 0.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Falei · R. Sramkova · head-to-head record · Suzhou

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Falei R. Sramkova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
49.6% 50.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
46.2% 53.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
32.3% 67.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
42.7% 57.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
46.2% 53.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Falei hard1650 151–81232
R. Sramkova hard1685 97–82179

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

R. Sramkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 9, 2026SuzhouhardR. Sramkova2 - 1
Feb. 3, 2024ITF W50 Porto WomenhardR. Sramkova2 - 1

Recent form

A. Falei

L M. Linette 1 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
W R. Zolotareva 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W E. Yashina 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026
L R. Sramkova 1 - 2 Oct. 9, 2026
W O. Oliynykova 0 - 1 Oct. 8, 2026

R. Sramkova

L M. Uchijima 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Klugman 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W N. Basiletti 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W M. Barthel 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
W K. Okamura 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026

All Oct. 9, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →