Y. Wu vs A. Walton — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · ATP US Open - 1/64-finals · Aug. 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Walton (moneyline) at 1.94 in Y. Wu vs A. Walton (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds Y. Wu 1.90 · A. Walton 1.90

Bot bet

A. Walton (moneyline) @ 1.94 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Y. Wu · A. Walton · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Y. Wu A. Walton
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
43.3% 56.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
44.9% 55.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
62.2% 37.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
50.3% 49.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
50.0% 50.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Y. Wu hard1764 91–39130
A. Walton hard1719 209–121330

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.

Head to head

Y. Wu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 30, 2026US OpenhardY. Wu3 - 0

Recent form

Y. Wu

L C. Alcaraz 0 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W J. Duckworth 0 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Walton 3 - 0 Aug. 30, 2026
L F. Comesana 2 - 0 Aug. 23, 2026
L J. Faria 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026

A. Walton

L Y. Wu 3 - 0 Aug. 30, 2026
L I. Buse 1 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026
W J. De Jong 2 - 0 Aug. 24, 2026
L J. Faria 2 - 1 Aug. 18, 2026
W I. Buse 2 - 0 Aug. 16, 2026

All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →