Y. Hanfmann vs Q. Halys — Prediction & Analysis

Kitzbuhel · ATP Kitzbuhel - Semi-finals · July 25, 2026 · 10:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 26.0 games at 1.90 in Y. Hanfmann vs Q. Halys (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-25). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds Y. Hanfmann 1.51 · Q. Halys 2.55

Bot bet

Under 26.0 games @ 1.90 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Y. Hanfmann · Q. Halys · head-to-head record · Kitzbuhel

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Y. Hanfmann Q. Halys
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
54.2% 45.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
64.1% 35.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
54.6% 45.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
54.2% 45.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
62.8% 37.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Y. Hanfmann clay1802 119–80199
Q. Halys clay1844 53–4093

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.

Head to head

Q. Halys leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 24, 2026KitzbuhelclayQ. Halys2 - 0

Recent form

Y. Hanfmann

L A. Michelsen 2 - 0 Nov. 9, 2026
L B. Bonzi 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W F. Balshaw 0 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
L J-L. Struff 0 - 2 Oct. 28, 2026
W R. Hijikata 1 - 2 Oct. 25, 2026

Q. Halys

L L. Sonego 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L T. Paul 2 - 0 Nov. 5, 2026
W F. Tiafoe 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
W A. Fery 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Rune 2 - 1 Oct. 26, 2026

All July 25, 2026 results & picks →

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