TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. M. Etcheverry (moneyline) at 2.70 in A. Bublik vs T. M. Etcheverry (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-25). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Bublik | T. M. Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.1% | 43.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.4% | 72.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.1% | 49.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.4% | 37.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bublik | clay | 1818 | 40–34 | 74 |
| T. M. Etcheverry | clay | 1805 | 188–98 | 286 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
A. Bublik leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 23, 2026 | Australian Open | hard | A. Bublik | 3 - 0 |
| May 16, 2025 | Turin 2 | hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 1 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | Walk Over | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Dahlin | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All July 25, 2026 results & picks →