TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Xin. Wang (moneyline) in Xin. Wang vs L. Fernandez (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-23).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Xin. Wang | L. Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.8% | 58.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xin. Wang | grass | 1804 | 24–14 | 38 |
| L. Fernandez | grass | 1609 | 15–15 | 30 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.
Xin. Wang leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | Xin. Wang | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Karunaratne | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Rybakina | Walk Over | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →