V. Williams vs S. Kenin — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · WTA US Open - 1/64-finals · Aug. 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 19.0 games at 1.98 in V. Williams vs S. Kenin (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds V. Williams 5.88 · S. Kenin 1.18

Bot bet

Under 19.0 games @ 1.98 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: V. Williams · S. Kenin · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method V. Williams S. Kenin
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
11.9% 88.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
4.3% 95.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
29.7% 70.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
15.8% 84.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
16.7% 83.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
V. Williams hard1293 6–3440
S. Kenin hard1571 90–95185

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.

Head to head

S. Kenin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 31, 2026US OpenhardS. Kenin2 - 0

Recent form

V. Williams

L M. Stoiana 0 - 2 Nov. 2, 2026
L L. Tagger 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L S. Kenin 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. Arango 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
L K. Rakhimova 2 - 0 Aug. 2, 2026

S. Kenin

L M. Stojsavljevic 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
L K. Quevedo 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Day 2 - 0 Oct. 20, 2026
L S. Kraus 2 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026
W M. Yamaguchi 1 - 2 Oct. 17, 2026

All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →

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