TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Golubic vs K. Swan (Ilkley on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with V. Golubic favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Golubic | K. Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.3% | 45.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.3% | 29.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Golubic | hard | 1724 | 118–68 | 186 |
| K. Swan | hard | 1636 | 110–50 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
K. Swan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | K. Swan | 2 - 0 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Martincova | 0 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used