TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Tan vs L. Tararudee (Ilkley on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with L. Tararudee favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Tan | L. Tararudee |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.5% | 12.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.0% | 25.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.1% | 55.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Tan | hard | 1606 | 144–100 | 244 |
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1846 | 152–75 | 227 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
H. Tan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | H. Tan | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Adeshina | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Kovackova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used