TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Mandlik vs D. Galfi (Ilkley on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with D. Galfi favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Mandlik | D. Galfi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.1% | 64.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
12.6% | 87.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.8% | 76.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mandlik | hard | 1604 | 98–72 | 170 |
| D. Galfi | clay | 1687 | 92–68 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 18, 2026.
E. Mandlik leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | E. Mandlik | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabunshchyk | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used