TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Gaubas vs J. Reis Da Silva (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with V. Gaubas favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | J. Reis Da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Gaubas | clay | 1658 | 158–102 | 260 |
| J. Reis Da Silva | clay | 1576 | 153–141 | 294 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
V. Gaubas leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 21, 2026 | Santiago | clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | H. Barton | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Ribecai | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used