TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Samuel vs D. Goffin (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with T. Samuel favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Samuel | D. Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.3% | 73.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.9% | 54.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
T. Samuel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | T. Samuel | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | C. H. Tseng | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 | April 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Nava | 2 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used