TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Svrcina vs F. A. Gomez (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with D. Svrcina favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Svrcina | F. A. Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.8% | 30.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.5% | 40.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.3% | 27.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Svrcina | clay | 1643 | 100–83 | 183 |
| F. A. Gomez | clay | 1611 | 131–82 | 213 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
D. Svrcina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 0 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Squire | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | S. Pieri | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Schoenhaus | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used