V. Erjavec vs J. Grabher — Prediction & Analysis

Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification · Kitzbuhel - Semi-finals · July 18, 2026 · 13:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing V. Erjavec (moneyline) at 1.80 in V. Erjavec vs J. Grabher (Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds V. Erjavec 1.80 · J. Grabher 1.90

Bot bet

V. Erjavec (moneyline) @ 1.80 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: V. Erjavec · J. Grabher · head-to-head record · Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method V. Erjavec J. Grabher
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
52.6% 47.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
62.5% 37.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
65.3% 34.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
57.8% 42.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
51.4% 48.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
V. Erjavec clay1649 143–86229
J. Grabher clay1658 161–96257

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.

Head to head

J. Grabher leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 24, 2026Philadelphia (Usa)hardJ. Grabher2 - 1
July 18, 2026Kitzbuhel (Austria) - QualificationclayJ. Grabher2 - 0

Recent form

V. Erjavec

L F. Curmi 2 - 1 Sept. 14, 2026
L J. Paolini 2 - 1 Aug. 30, 2026
L J. Grabher 1 - 2 Aug. 24, 2026
L M. Stoiana 2 - 0 Aug. 11, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 2 - 0 July 21, 2026

J. Grabher

L S. Cirstea 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L T. Valentova 2 - 0 Aug. 28, 2026
W F. Crawley 0 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
W A. Krueger 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
W V. Erjavec 1 - 2 Aug. 24, 2026

All July 18, 2026 results & picks →

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