TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bassols (moneyline) at 2.62 in M. Bassols vs S. Kraus (Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bassols | S. Kraus |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.6% | 62.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.2% | 61.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.6% | 50.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bassols | clay | 1640 | 95–72 | 167 |
| S. Kraus | clay | 1780 | 175–88 | 263 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
S. Kraus leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 11, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 |
| July 18, 2026 | Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification | clay | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 4, 2024 | WTA Cluj-Napoca | clay | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Herazo Gonzalez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
All July 18, 2026 results & picks →