TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Zidansek +3.5 (game handicap) at 2.06 in T. Zidansek vs M. Timofeeva (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Zidansek | M. Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.8% | 65.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.4% | 57.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.7% | 67.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Zidansek | hard | 1580 | 56–60 | 116 |
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1723 | 103–67 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 28, 2026.
M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Scott | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | S. Cirstea | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | X. Sun | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →