TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Preston vs A. Krueger (Birmingham on 2026-06-05) — the market is efficient, with A. Krueger favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Preston | A. Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
12.8% | 87.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
22.1% | 77.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Preston | hard | 1773 | 139–62 | 201 |
| A. Krueger | hard | 1720 | 94–83 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
A. Krueger leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 5, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 |
| W | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | P. Hon | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kaji | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Bolkvadze | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used