TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Bartunkova vs M. Stojsavljevic (Birmingham on 2026-06-05) — the market is efficient, with N. Bartunkova favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | M. Stojsavljevic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
80.1% | 19.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.5% | 37.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
| M. Stojsavljevic | hard | 1550 | 45–24 | 69 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
N. Bartunkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 5, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | O. Dodin | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Pircher | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | W. Newman | 2 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
All June 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used