TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. M. Etcheverry -2.5 (game handicap) at 2.00 in T. M. Etcheverry vs J. Rodionov (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-22). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. M. Etcheverry | J. Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.6% | 32.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.6% | 32.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.3% | 32.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. M. Etcheverry | clay | 1805 | 188–98 | 286 |
| J. Rodionov | clay | 1649 | 64–58 | 122 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
T. M. Etcheverry leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 |
| May 4, 2023 | Aix en Provence Challenger Men | clay | J. Rodionov | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 12, 2019 | Portoroz | hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | Walk Over | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Dahlin | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Martinez | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 1 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
All July 22, 2026 results & picks →