TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Trungelliti (moneyline) at 2.72 in M. Trungelliti vs Y. Hanfmann (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Trungelliti | Y. Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.1% | 60.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trungelliti | clay | 1714 | 160–88 | 248 |
| Y. Hanfmann | clay | 1802 | 119–80 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 8, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | Y. Hanfmann | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 15, 2025 | ATP Rio de Janeiro | clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 3 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Shang | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| W | H. Medjedovic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | Aug. 6, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
All July 22, 2026 results & picks →