TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Gibson (moneyline) at 1.99 in T. Gibson vs D. Vekic (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gibson | D. Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.0% | 25.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.5% | 53.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 30, 2026.
D. Vekic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 30, 2026 | US Open | hard | D. Vekic | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Vekic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Cabrera | 1 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| W | L. Tagger | 1 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 6, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →