TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Gibson (moneyline) at 1.99 in T. Gibson vs D. Vekic (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gibson | D. Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.0% | 25.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.5% | 53.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
D. Vekic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 30, 2026 | US Open | hard | D. Vekic | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 1 - 2 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Zhu | 2 - 1 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | 0 - 2 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 2 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →