TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Fritz (moneyline) at 1.90 in T. Fritz vs A. Zverev (Wimbledon on 2026-07-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Fritz | A. Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
82.7% | 17.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.6% | 37.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
49.7% | 50.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 8, 2026.
T. Fritz leads 10–4 over 14 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 |
| June 20, 2026 | Halle | grass | T. Fritz | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 15, 2025 | Six Kings Slam | hard | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 22, 2025 | ATP Laver Cup | hard | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| June 15, 2025 | Stuttgart | grass | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| W | H. Rune | Walk Over | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Fery | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →