AI match preview for T. Boyer vs M. Alcala Gurri (Lima 2 on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. M. Alcala Gurri is the market favourite at 1.56.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Boyer | M. Alcala Gurri |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.3% | 35.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.2% | 48.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.9% | 56.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Boyer | clay | 1692 | 65–51 | 116 |
| M. Alcala Gurri | clay | 1697 | 223–139 | 362 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
| W | R. Tabata | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Gaubas | 2 - 1 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | S. De La Fuente | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | F. Mena | 1 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Andrade | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →