TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Magadan vs F. Roncadelli (Lima 2 on 2026-11-13) — the market is efficient, with F. Roncadelli favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Magadan | F. Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.1% | 76.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
70.5% | 29.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.4% | 67.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Magadan | clay | 1488 | 14–13 | 27 |
| F. Roncadelli | clay | 1593 | 174–126 | 300 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
| W | A. Barrena | 1 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | O. Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | F. Misolic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | N. Barrientos | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | V. Aboian | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | F. Comesana | 1 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Rubini Garcia Belaunde | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | J. S. Gomez | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | R. Ramos | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →