TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. A. Tirante vs P. Carreno-Busta (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with T. A. Tirante favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. A. Tirante | P. Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.3% | 56.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.0% | 63.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.2% | 31.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
| P. Carreno-Busta | hard | 1742 | 81–51 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
P. Carreno-Busta leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Carreno-Busta | 3 - 1 |
| May 5, 2025 | Rome | clay | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 0 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | V. Gaubas | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used