TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Khachanov vs J. De Jong (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with K. Khachanov favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | J. De Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.5% | 54.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.2% | 31.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
| J. De Jong | clay | 1752 | 139–88 | 227 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. De Jong | 3 - 2 |
| Feb. 11, 2026 | Rotterdam | hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Baez | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 3 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used