TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Borges vs A. Rublev (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with A. Rublev favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Borges | A. Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.2% | 67.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.8% | 78.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.1% | 74.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.8% | 70.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Rublev leads 5–0 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Rublev | 3 - 0 |
| April 6, 2026 | Monte Carlo | clay | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 9, 2026 | Hong Kong | hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 19, 2025 | Doha | hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 21, 2024 | ATP Basel | hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used