TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Stephens (moneyline) at 3.27 in S. Stephens vs C. Tauson (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Stephens | C. Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.1% | 64.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.9% | 69.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.9% | 71.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stephens | hard | 1716 | 67–76 | 143 |
| C. Tauson | hard | 1734 | 144–80 | 224 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
S. Stephens leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | S. Stephens | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Perry | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Kuhl | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Pareja | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Sharma | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | R. M. Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 1 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 2 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →