TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Shimabukuro (moneyline) at 2.30 in S. Shimabukuro vs J. Wolf (Cincinnati on 2026-08-12). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Shimabukuro | J. Wolf |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.3% | 47.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Shimabukuro | hard | 1632 | 170–126 | 296 |
| J. Wolf | hard | 1670 | 120–90 | 210 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
J. Wolf leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 13, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | J. Wolf | 2 - 1 |
| L | H. Mayot | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Poljicak | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Milavsky | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. M. Jong | 1 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All Aug. 12, 2026 results & picks →