O. Selekhmeteva vs M. Stoiana — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · WTA Cincinnati - Final · Aug. 12, 2026 · 15:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing O. Selekhmeteva (moneyline) at 2.48 in O. Selekhmeteva vs M. Stoiana (Cincinnati on 2026-08-12). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds O. Selekhmeteva 2.30 · M. Stoiana 1.53

Bot bet

O. Selekhmeteva (moneyline) @ 2.48 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: O. Selekhmeteva · M. Stoiana · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method O. Selekhmeteva M. Stoiana
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
48.7% 51.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
54.1% 45.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
50.9% 49.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
47.9% 52.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
39.9% 60.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
O. Selekhmeteva hard1699 75–50125
M. Stoiana hard1672 69–41110

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.

Head to head

M. Stoiana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 13, 2026CincinnatihardM. Stoiana2 - 1

Recent form

O. Selekhmeteva

L K. Rakhimova 0 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Ito 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L K. Volynets 0 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
W Xiy. Wang Walk Over Aug. 27, 2026
W C. Jauffret 2 - 1 Aug. 26, 2026

M. Stoiana

L J. Riera 2 - 1 Sept. 10, 2026
W J. Ortenzi 0 - 2 Sept. 9, 2026
L A. Eala 0 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W Y. Yuan 1 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
W K. Swan 1 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026

All Aug. 12, 2026 results & picks →

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