TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Sakellaridis vs M. Cecchinato (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with M. Cecchinato favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Sakellaridis | M. Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.2% | 53.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sakellaridis | hard | 1685 | 136–90 | 226 |
| M. Cecchinato | clay | 1683 | 180–136 | 316 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 31, 2026.
M. Cecchinato leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 |
| L | O. Tarvet | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Muller | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | F. Agamenone | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used