TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Kraus vs N. Noha Akugue (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with S. Kraus favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kraus | N. Noha Akugue |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.9% | 54.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.5% | 37.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kraus | clay | 1776 | 175–88 | 263 |
| N. Noha Akugue | clay | 1601 | 114–85 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 5, 2022 | W60 Hechingen | clay | N. Noha Akugue | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Avdeeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Steiner | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used