TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Bejlek +3.5 (game handicap) at 2.04 in S. Bejlek vs M. Keys (Cincinnati on 2026-08-21). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bejlek | M. Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.5% | 65.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.4% | 54.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.6% | 60.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.5% | 72.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
S. Bejlek leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 21, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | S. Bejlek | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Bucsa | 1 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 2 - 1 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
All Aug. 21, 2026 results & picks →