TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Pegula -1.0 (game handicap) at 1.92 in A. Anisimova vs J. Pegula (Cincinnati on 2026-08-21). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Anisimova | J. Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.2% | 63.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.0% | 62.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.4% | 51.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anisimova | hard | 1991 | 97–49 | 146 |
| J. Pegula | hard | 2093 | 204–77 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 5, 2026.
J. Pegula leads 6–1 over 7 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 20, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 20, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 28, 2026 | WTA Australian Open | hard | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 |
| Dec. 9, 2025 | Others matches | — | A. Anisimova | 2 - 0 |
| Dec. 7, 2025 | Others matches | — | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Tagger | 1 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 21, 2026 results & picks →