TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bandecchi vs J. Bouzas Maneiro (Parma on 2026-05-14) — the market is efficient, with J. Bouzas Maneiro favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bandecchi | J. Bouzas Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
20.4% | 79.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
67.8% | 32.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.5% | 79.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bandecchi | hard | 1628 | 96–65 | 161 |
| J. Bouzas Maneiro | clay | 1679 | 122–67 | 189 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
J. Bouzas Maneiro leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Parma | clay | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 1 |
| July 9, 2021 | W25 Torino | clay | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 14, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used