TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Salkova vs C. Osorio (Parma on 2026-05-14) — the market is efficient, with C. Osorio favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Salkova | C. Osorio |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.1% | 62.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.5% | 70.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.0% | 60.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.8% | 73.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Salkova | clay | 1614 | 97–70 | 167 |
| C. Osorio | hard | 1807 | 72–65 | 137 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
C. Osorio leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Parma | clay | C. Osorio | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 29, 2025 | Singapore | hard | C. Osorio | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Boskovic | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 14, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used