TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Sramkova vs F. Jorge (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with R. Sramkova favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Sramkova | F. Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.1% | 25.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sramkova | hard | 1703 | 89–75 | 164 |
| F. Jorge | hard | 1615 | 147–97 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
R. Sramkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Ansari | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | F. Curmi | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Voloshchuk | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Pavlova | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | H. Abe | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used