TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Collignon (moneyline) at 1.50 in R. Collignon vs L. Sonego (Gstaad on 2026-07-15). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Collignon | L. Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.2% | 23.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.2% | 28.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
79.1% | 20.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.8% | 28.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.1% | 36.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Collignon | clay | 1829 | 136–49 | 185 |
| L. Sonego | clay | 1575 | 51–46 | 97 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
R. Collignon leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 15, 2026 | Gstaad | clay | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Gorzny | 3 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 1 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Popyrin | 0 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Passaro | 1 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | P. Herbert | 2 - 1 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
All July 15, 2026 results & picks →